Tuesday, October 28, 2008

The New York Times to meet market expectations the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates

October 28, the U.S. Federal Reserve held a two-day meeting. The market generally believes that in order to protect the world from the threat of economic crisis credit, the United States most likely will cut interest rates at least 0.5 percentage points.
U.S. Federal Reserve's policy-making Open Market Committee will be U.S. Eastern Time 2:15 pm
Wednesday announced its decision. Reuters on 14 large-scale fund to a survey conducted by the market of the United States shared the view that the central bank will choose to lower the overnight federal funds rate 0.5 percent, when interest rates will be 1%. This will be in June 2004 at the lowest rate since. At that time, the Federal Reserve is faced with the risk of deflation.
Financial futures markets more Mi wilt, will the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates to borrow 0.75 points, in July 1958 was the lowest level.
Some market participants believe that, just like Japan in the 1990s to deal with deflation, the Federal Reserve may be gradually reduced to zero interest rates.
The Fed has been injected to the market more than 1,000,000,000,000 U.S. dollars if the Federal Reserve to reduce interest rates below the official interest rate is currently 1.5 percent, market participants think that this is "stealing" the injection.
The price of crude oil and other commodity prices fell in a straight line, the U.S. consumer price index in the next few months, a sharp decline. Many analysts believe that annual ring than the consumer price index fell to negative. However, this does not mean that large-scale emergence of deflation, but also to the Federal Reserve will continue to be issued a warning in red.
10月28日,美国联邦储备局召开为期两天的会议。市场普遍认为,为了维护遭受全球信贷危机威胁的经济,美国极有可能将利率下调至少0.5个百分点。  
制定政策的美联储公开市场委员会将于美国东部时间周三下午2:15宣布其会议决定。  
路透社对14家大型基金公司进行的调查显示,市场均认为美国央行将选择将隔夜联邦资金利率调低0.5%,届时利率水平将为1%。这将是2004年6月以来的最低利率。当时,美联储面临着通货紧缩的风险。  
金融期货市场更加萎糜,美联储将把借款利率调低0.75点,是1958年7月以来最低水平。
一些市场人士认为,就像日本在上个世纪90年代应对通货紧缩那样,美联储也许将逐步把利率降低到零。   
美联储目前已经向市场注资超过1万亿美元,如果美联储把利率调减低于目前的官方利率1.5%,有市场人士认为这是在“窃取”注资额。  
原油价格及其它商品价格的直线下跌,将使美国消费者价格指数在未来几个月里急剧下滑。许多分析人士认为年度环比消费者价格指数将跌至负数。不过,这并不意味着出现大范围的通货紧缩,但是也将继续向美联储发出红色警告。

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