Analysis of the election: the 12 battleground states of the United States will set the success or failure of Aomai

According to Reuters, November 4 U.S. presidential election will be the result of the 12 states decided on the battlefield. Most polls show that Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama in these battleground states of support for leading his Republican rival John McCain. Obama in all polls across the country are leading McCain. According to Reuters and Zogby poll released today, Obama in eight key battleground states in the five states leading McCain. In the most talked about Florida and Ohio, Obama leading McCain in Florida by one percentage point, leading McCain in Ohio of a percentage point, but the lead in the polls 4.1 percentage point margin of error. Obama in Virginia, Nevada, Pennsylvania, lead to some more, McCain is in Indiana, North Carolina lead. Missouri, two in the election is about the same. The following are some of the battleground states have electoral votes, the results of the presidential election in 2004, the latest election details: Colorado: 9 electoral votes in person, Bush in 2004 to 52% more than 47 percent of the state's advantage in the victory over Kerry, but then, the Democrats in the state legislature and the governor's election. The four latest polls show Obama leading 4-7 percentage points between. Florida: 27 electoral votes, Bush in 2004 to 52% more than 47 percent of the state's advantage in the victory over Kerry. Florida is a classic swing state, and those older voters and Jewish voters may vote for McCain. Two of today's poll showed Obama leading edge of a percentage point and 3, while another said the poll, Obama leading McCain by 1 percentage point. Indiana: 11 electoral votes, Bush in 2004 to 20 percent edge in the state of the Kerry defeat, this state since 1964 has been voted for Republican candidates, but Obama and his home state of Illinois is Near, Obama in the Democratic primary in the state has invested considerable resources. Reuters / Zogby poll today showed McCain leading Obama 5 percentage points, although the previous two polls show the support of about the same rate. Missouri: 11 electoral votes, Bush in 2004 to 53% more than 46% of the state's advantage in the victory over Kerry, his victory should be attributed to urban and rural conservative voters. In Missouri, for the election appeared to be the most intense competition, today carried out two opinion polls show the two candidates about the same rating. New Hampshire: 4 electoral votes, Kerry in 2004 by a percentage point advantage in the state to defeat Bush. McCain in 2000 and 2008 in the New Hampshire primaries have a huge advantage to win, which he hopes to win the state. The Democratic Party in 2006 won the state's two seats in Congress, and took control of the state legislature. Carried out last Sunday's poll, Obama leading 11 points. New Mexico: 5 electoral votes, Bush in 2004 to less than 6000 votes at the edge of victory over Kerry in the state. Due to McCain from neighboring Arizona, New Mexico voters are very familiar with McCain, but he and Obama have to compete for Hispanic voters, New Mexico, more than 40 percent of residents are Hispanic. The latest poll showed Obama leading by 10 percentage points. Nevada: 5 electoral votes, Bush in 2004 to 20,000 vote advantage in the state to defeat Kerry. Republican presidential candidate in the last 10 presidential elections won in the 8th. And New Mexico, Hispanic voters will play a key role in position, the number of Hispanics accounted for almost one-fourth of the population in the state. Reuters / Zogby poll today showed that Obama lead of 11 percentage points. North Carolina: 15 electoral votes, Bush in 2004 to 12 percent edge in the state defeated Kerry, despite Kerry's running mate John Edwards from that state. The state for more than one-fifth of the population is black, moved to a large number of the state's high-tech-intensive urban areas so that Obama had a chance. The two latest polls show the two men about the same rate of support, a poll said McCain leading by 1 percentage point, another poll said Obama leading by one percentage point. Ohio: 20 electoral votes to Bush's 120,000 vote advantage in the state defeated Kerry in order to win the 2004 election. No Republican presidential candidate who lost in Ohio's case can still win the White House. McCain lost in the state's case will be difficult to win. Reuters / Zogby poll today showed Obama to 2 percentage points of the lead, which seems to be a very intense campaign. Pennsylvania: 21 electoral votes, Kerry in 2004 to 51% to 48% advantage in the state to defeat Bush, McCain hopes to win the state. The two latest opinion polls show that Obama's lead of 9 percentage points and 10 percentage points. Virginia: 13 electoral votes, Bush in 2004 to 9 percentage point advantage with relative ease to win the state, Virginia, since 1964, has been voted for the Republican presidential candidate, but Virginia in recent state elections have been Democrats tend to, in the northern suburbs of Washington, DC, residents of the Democrats tend to have increased significantly. Reuters / Zogby poll today showed Obama leading by 7 percentage points, two recent polls show Obama leading 4 percentage points. Wisconsin: 10 electoral votes, Kerry in 2004 by 11,000 votes to win the advantage, Obama in February in the state's Democratic primary in a very big advantage of the defeat Hillary, in which he State support for McCain has been leading. Three recent polls show that Obama's lead is 10, 11 and 16 percentage points.
据路透社报道，11月4日的美国总统大选的结果将由12个战场州决定。多数民调显示，民主党总统候选人奥巴马在这些战场州的支持率领先他的共和党竞争对手麦凯恩。
奥巴马在所有全国范围内的民调都领先麦凯恩。根据路透社和佐格比今天公布的民调，奥巴马在八个关键战场州中的五个州领先麦凯恩。在最受关注的佛罗里达州和俄亥俄州，奥巴马在佛罗里达州领先麦凯恩一个百分点，在俄亥俄州领先麦凯恩二个百分点，但领先优势都在民调4.1个百分点误差率之内。奥巴马在弗吉尼亚州、内华达州、宾夕法尼亚州的领先优势要更大一些，麦凯恩则在印第安那州、北卡罗莱纳州领先。两人在密苏里州的选情则不相上下。
以下是一些战场州所拥有的选举人票、2004年总统选举结果、最新选情的细节：
科罗拉多州：9张选人票，布什2004年以52%比47%的优势在该州战胜了克里，但在那之后，民主党人在州议会和州长的选举中获胜。最新四个民调显示，奥巴马领先4至7个百分点之间。
佛罗里达州：27张选举人票，布什2004年以52%比47%的优势在该州战胜了克里。佛罗里达是一个典型的摇摆州，那些年龄较大的选民和犹太选民可能会投票给麦凯恩。两个今天进行的民调显示，奥巴马的领先优势分别为1个和3个百分点，而另一个民调则称，麦凯恩领先奥巴马1个百分点。
印第安那州：11张选举人票，布什2004年以20个百分点的优势在该州战胜了克里，这个州自1964年以来一直投票给共和党候选人，但它与奥巴马家乡州伊利诺伊州很近，奥巴马在民主党初选后在该州投入了相当多的资源。路透社/佐格比今天进行的民调显示，麦凯恩领先奥巴马5个百分点，虽然先前的民调显示两人的支持率不相上下。
密苏里州：11张选举人票，布什2004年以53%比46%的优势在该州战胜了克里，他的胜利要归结城市和保守乡村选民的支持。在密苏里州进行的选战看起来是竞争最为激烈的，今天进行的两个民调显示两位候选人的支持率不相上下。
新罕布什尔州：4张选举人票，克里2004年以1个百分点的优势在该州战胜了布什。麦凯恩2000年和2008年在新罕布什尔州的初选中都以非常大的优势胜出，这使他寄希望赢得该州。民主党2006年赢得了该州在国会的两个席位，并控制了州议会。上星期天进行的民调显示，奥巴马领先11个百分点。
新墨西哥州：5张选举人票，布什2004年以不足6000张选票的优势在该州战胜了克里。由于麦凯恩来自邻近的亚利桑那州，新墨西哥州的选民很熟悉麦凯恩，但他要和奥巴马争夺西班牙裔选民的支持，新墨西哥州百分之四十以上的居民是西班牙裔。最新的民调显示，奥巴马领先10个百分点。
内华达州：5张选举人票，布什2004年以20000张选票的优势在该州战胜克里。共和党总统候选人在过去的10次总统选举中赢得了其中的8次。与新墨西哥州一样，西班牙裔选民的立场将起关键作用，西班牙裔人数已几乎占该州人口的四分之一。路透社/佐格比今天进行的民调显示奥巴马领先11个百分点。
北卡罗来纳州：15张选举人票，布什2004年以12个百分点的优势在该州战胜了克里，尽管克里的副手爱德华兹来自该州。该州五分之一以上的人口是黑人，大量人员移居该州高技术密集的市区使奥巴马获得了一个机会。最新两个民调显示，两人的支持率不相上下，一个民调称麦凯恩领先1个百分点，另一个民调则称奥巴马领先一个百分点。
俄亥俄州：20张选举人票，布什以12万张的选票优势在该州战胜了克里，从而最终赢得2004年的选战。没有哪一位共和党总统候选人能够在输掉俄亥俄州的情况下仍能赢得白宫。麦凯恩在输掉该州的情况下将会很难赢得胜利。路透社/佐格比今天进行的民调显示，奥巴马以2个百分点的优势领先，这看起来将是一场非常激烈的选战。
宾夕法尼亚州：21张选举人票，克里2004年以51%比48%的优势在该州战胜了布什，但麦凯恩有希望赢得该州。最新的两个民调显示，奥巴马的领先优势分别为9个百分点和10个百分点。
弗吉尼亚州：13张选举人票，布什2004年以9个百分点的优势相对容易地赢得了该州，弗吉尼亚州自1964年以来一直投票给共和党总统候选人，但是弗吉尼亚州在最近的州选举中已倾向于民主党人，华盛顿特区北部郊区倾向于民主党人的居民已大幅增加。路透社/佐格比今天进行的民调显示，奥巴马领先7个百分点，另外两个最近进行的民调显示，奥巴马领先4个百分点。
威斯康辛州：10张选举人票，克里2004年以11000张选票的优势胜出，奥巴马2月份曾在该州的民主党党内初选中以非常大的优势战胜了希拉里，他在该州的支持率一直领先麦凯恩。最近进行的三个民调显示，奥巴马的领先优势分别是10个、11个和16个百分点。